Technology and Research
Intel® Technology Journal Home
Volume 11, Issue 02
The Spectrum of Risk Management in a Technology Company
Table of Contents
Technical Reviewers
About This Journal
Intel Published Articles
Read Past Journals
Subscribe
RSS Feed *NEW*
E-Mail this Journal to a Colleague
ITJ The Spectrum of Risk Management in a Technology Company
Intel Technology Journal - Foreword
The Spectrum of Risk Management in a Technology Company
Volume 11    Issue 02    Published May 16, 2007
ISSN 1535-864X    DOI: 10.1535/itj.1102.f

Foreword
By Karl Kempf
Fellow and Director of Decision Technologies
Technology and Manufacturing Group, Intel Corporation
 

Since 1968, Intel has advanced semiconductor technology using Moore's Law as a roadmap. This has resulted in computing-related products with ever increasing capability and performance, fabrication processes with ever smaller feature sizes, and ever more efficient high-volume manufacturing (HVM) facilities. Many of the successes in these and related areas have been reported in the pages of this Journal over the years. However, to evolve to realize over $35B in revenue in 2006 requires a wide variety of support capabilities as well. While it is necessary for Intel to continue to lead in the semiconductor technology race, it is arguably not sufficient. For example, a previous issue of this Journal entitled "Managing International Supply and Demand at Intel" (Volume 9, Issue 3, August 2005) described such support capabilities as supply chain planning and inventory modeling. This Intel Technology Journal (Vol. 11, Issue 2) on "The Spectrum of Risk Management in a Technology Company," explains Intel's approach to risk as a support capability that includes technical, marketing, and commercial areas.

Risk comes in many guises for Intel. On the one hand, the high technology component of Intel's business faces a number of sequential issues. The concept of a semiconductor technology race is based on the assumption of a never-ending flow of technical advances that can be turned into useful products that a market will pay to acquire. For Intel, this includes at least innovative physics and materials that support Moore's law. Such advances require years (if not decades) of research to realize, as well as financial, technical, and moral support. As the innovation funnel narrows and specific concepts are selected for reduction to engineering practice, whether in product design or process development, projects have to be completed on time and on budget in a coordinated fashion to sustain Intel's technology lead. Production equipment implementing the new physics and using the new materials can be available in modest quantities for these development projects, but once HVM begins, this equipment is required very quickly in very large numbers. And given the nature of Intel's innovative products, the market must be appropriately prepared to accept them.

There is risk in every component of this repetitive sequence and in the coordination of activities. In the early exploratory steps, the innovations may not materialize or may be realized too slowly. Critical development projects may be delayed or fail due to technical difficulties. Equipment and materials may not be available in appropriate quantities or at acceptable prices when HVM needs them. Of course the most catastrophic risk, at the end of this long series of interacting risks, is that the market will not accept the resulting product. Successful management of these sequential interrelated risks is absolutely essential to the success of Intel as a technology company.

On the other hand, there exists a spectrum of risks, many of which are only peripherally related to the high technology nature of Intel's business. Every company faces risks from natural events such as storms, earthquakes, floods, and so on, depending on the physical location of the company and the luck of the draw. Artificial or human-generated events can be just as disruptive as natural disasters and equally beyond the control of the average company. Accidents happen in the form of fires, lost shipments and a plethora of other causes, some of which can be mitigated. Operating internationally brings with it the risk of incompatible regulations and business practices. Every conscientious company works to avoid causing damage to its physical environment or risk to the health and safety of its employees, suppliers, or customers.

Successful management of this range of risks is often measured in terms of business continuity. Did the company continue to function in an effective manner in the face of various combinations of these risks over time? Perhaps an equally important question, as the commercial landscape continues to become ever more complex, concerns the ability of the company to learn from its experience of being exposed to these risks over time. Managing these commercial risks and answering these questions is in many cases equally important to Intel's prosperity as is managing the technical and marketing risks described above.

Moreover, cutting across all of these risks is the sobering fact that risks are dynamic. Old risks subside and new risks rise up to take their place. Risks that were adequately characterized and mitigated with old techniques morph and require renewed attention. New techniques become feasible (sometimes based on Intel technology advances), and old risk management systems can be made to operate more efficiently and effectively. Risks that in the past were independent become coupled with other risks in complex ways as our market broadens. The message is that there is no end to risk management. High-performance companies will always need to be vigilant in detecting holes (and overlaps) in their integrated risk management systems. They will continue to seek a balance between allocating a modest budget to manage an apparently infinite spectrum of risks and proposing a seemingly infinite budget for the impossible goal of mitigating all risks. In this ongoing effort, competitive advantage accrues to the company that can continuously improve its integrated risk management system.

Back to Top